No this isn't the secret to my success (or potentially lack thereof) in my March Madness Competition. While I may share a bit of that later, this is just showing what I predicted versus what the other competitors predicted. This shows me who I should be rooting for. The probability I predicted is represented by the dotted line. Deciding who to root for isn't as simple as which team has a higher probability according to my algorithm. If I predicted a 20% chance a 16 seed beats a 1 seed, I would be rooting for the 16 seed because nobody else would have made such a conservative prediction. I have also added what my scores for my two submissions should be since the leaderboard only gets updated at the end of the day. Lower scores are better.

Utilizing seed data (and more)

Not utilizing seed data