function histogram(data, buckets) { var histo = {}, x, i, arr = []; var max = 0; var min = 1; var step = (max-min)/(buckets-1); // Group down for (i = 0; i < data.length; i++) { x = Math.floor(data[i] / step) * step; if (!histo[x]) { histo[x] = 0; } histo[x]++; } // Make the histo group into an array for (x in histo) { if (histo.hasOwnProperty((x))) { arr.push([parseFloat(x), histo[x]]); } } // Finally, sort the array arr.sort(function (a, b) { return a[0] - b[0]; }); return arr; } function cost(data, winner) { var arr = []; // Group down for (var i = 0; i < data.length; i++) { if(winner == 'left') { arr.push([data[i], -1*Math.log(1-data[i])]); } else if(winner == 'right') { arr.push([data[i], -1*Math.log(data[i])]); } } return arr; } function randn_bm(mu, sigma) { var u = 1 - Math.random(); var v = 1 - Math.random(); return (sigma * Math.sqrt( -2.0 * Math.log( u ) ) * Math.cos( 2.0 * Math.PI * v )) + mu; } function distribution(size) { var mean = Math.max(0.1, Math.min(0.9, randn_bm(0.5, 0.15))); var distr = []; for(var i=0; i< Team A vs Team B >' }, credits: { enabled: false }, xAxis: [{ title: { text: 'Probability Team B beats Team A' }, floor: 0, ceiling: 1, min: 0, minPadding: 0, max: 1, maxPadding: 0, endOnTick: true },{ floor: 0, ceiling: 1, min: 0, minPadding: 0, max: 1, maxPadding: 0, endOnTick: true, visible: false }], yAxis: [{ title: { text: 'Count' } }, { opposite: true, lineWidth: 0, gridLineWidth: 0, minorGridLineWidth: 0, lineColor: 'transparent', title: { text: 'Penalty' } }], series: [{ name: 'Penalty if Team A Wins', type: 'spline', color: teamA.color, data: cost([0.01, 0.02, 0.03, 0.04, 0.05, 0.06, 0.07, 0.08, 0.09, 0.1, 0.11, 0.12, 0.13, 0.14, 0.15, 0.16, 0.17, 0.18, 0.19, 0.2, 0.21, 0.22, 0.23, 0.24, 0.25, 0.26, 0.27, 0.28, 0.29, 0.3, 0.31, 0.32, 0.33, 0.34, 0.35, 0.36, 0.37, 0.38, 0.39, 0.4, 0.41, 0.42, 0.43, 0.44, 0.45, 0.46, 0.47, 0.48, 0.49, 0.5, 0.51, 0.52, 0.53, 0.54, 0.55, 0.56, 0.57, 0.58, 0.59, 0.6, 0.61, 0.62, 0.63, 0.64, 0.65, 0.66, 0.67, 0.68, 0.69, 0.7, 0.71, 0.72, 0.73, 0.74, 0.75, 0.76, 0.77, 0.78, 0.79, 0.8, 0.81, 0.82, 0.83, 0.84, 0.85, 0.86, 0.87, 0.88, 0.89, 0.9, 0.91, 0.92, 0.93, 0.94, 0.95, 0.96, 0.97, 0.98, 0.99], 'left'), xAxis: 1, yAxis: 1, index: 1, legendIndex: 0, tooltip: { pointFormatter: function() { return '\u25CF Penalty: ' + (Math.round(this.y*10000)/10000) + '
'; } }, marker: { radius: 0 } }, { name: 'Histogram', type: 'column', color: histo.color, data: histogram(data, 31), index: 0, legendIndex: 1, tooltip: { headerFormat: ' {point.key:.4f}
' }, pointPadding: 0, groupPadding: 0, pointPlacement: 'on' }, { name: 'Penalty if Team B Wins', type: 'spline', color: teamB.color, data: cost([0.01, 0.02, 0.03, 0.04, 0.05, 0.06, 0.07, 0.08, 0.09, 0.1, 0.11, 0.12, 0.13, 0.14, 0.15, 0.16, 0.17, 0.18, 0.19, 0.2, 0.21, 0.22, 0.23, 0.24, 0.25, 0.26, 0.27, 0.28, 0.29, 0.3, 0.31, 0.32, 0.33, 0.34, 0.35, 0.36, 0.37, 0.38, 0.39, 0.4, 0.41, 0.42, 0.43, 0.44, 0.45, 0.46, 0.47, 0.48, 0.49, 0.5, 0.51, 0.52, 0.53, 0.54, 0.55, 0.56, 0.57, 0.58, 0.59, 0.6, 0.61, 0.62, 0.63, 0.64, 0.65, 0.66, 0.67, 0.68, 0.69, 0.7, 0.71, 0.72, 0.73, 0.74, 0.75, 0.76, 0.77, 0.78, 0.79, 0.8, 0.81, 0.82, 0.83, 0.84, 0.85, 0.86, 0.87, 0.88, 0.89, 0.9, 0.91, 0.92, 0.93, 0.94, 0.95, 0.96, 0.97, 0.98, 0.99], 'right'), xAxis: 1, yAxis: 1, index: 1, legendIndex: 2, tooltip: { pointFormat: '\u25CF Penalty: {point.y:.4f}
' }, marker: { radius: 0 } }] }); }